A Simple Test to Predict Life Expectancy

What is my life expectancy? How many years more will I live? Every person faces these simple but vital questions. Especially elderly people think and worry a lot about it in the light of multiplying age-related diseases.

Image: Marica Rytovaara, a Training Analyst with the SAP / thesap.org.uk/

How to measure health in a simple way?

Based on the vast medical experience, the Brazilian doctor Claudio Gil Araujo has created a test that can be done at home in a very simple way, without any special equipment and very quickly — this test can measure your current health condition and predict your lifetime. Over 6 years the scientist’s team monitored patients over 50 years old and in its course generated an idea to predict patients’ life expectancy. The scientist understood that such test should be simple. If it would require expensive and complicated equipment, hardly many people will be able to do it.

Professor Araujo noticed that many people often have difficulties to perform simple movements related to coordination and physical fortitude, for example to get up from a chair or from the floor. Therefore, he suggested a very simple exercise: to sit on the floor slowly, and then to rise up slowly.

At first glance, this test checks condition of musculoskeletal and vestibular systems, but it was unexpectedly discovered that the test can predict a life span very precisely.

Approximately 2,000 patients under 51 years old participated in this experiment, and those who scored less than 8 points were twice as likely to die within the next six years. Patients with 3 points or less had five times more chances to die. According to Professor Araujo, difference of just 1 point meant difference of death risk by 21%.

It should be noted though that patients only over 50 years took part in the study, so the test is not same precise for younger people. But despite how old you are, it can be useful to assess your current state of health in general. If you are under 50, but have problems to perform it, it is a warning signal to pay attention to your health. If an elderly person is able to perform this exercise using only one hand, or even without help of hands at all, life expectancy will be favorable.

How to do the test?

So, what is the test part? This is a sitting-rising test, do it in loose convenient clothes. Stand in the middle of the room and, cross-legged, slowly sit on the floor without the help of hands, then try to stand up also without help of hands. Click here for video instruction.

Maximum score is 10 points: 5 points for a successful attempt to sit on the floor and 5 points for taking a vertical position. At the same time, 1 point should be deducted for each use of body support (hand or knee), and 0.5 points for loss of balance.

Calculate how many points you have scored, and pick one of four categories: C1 (0-3 points), C2 (3.5-5.5 points), C3 (6-7.5 points), C4 (8-10 points). If you have performed the test flawlessly without any help and scored 10 points, then you have a minimal risk of death in the next few years.

So, for those who have scored 0-3 points, risk of death increased 5 times compared to those who scored 10 points. For those who scored 3.5-5.5 points, risk of death increased 3.8 times, and from 6 to 7.5 points it is 1.8 times higher than for participants who scored more than 8 points.

Thus increase in the test results by 1 point means 21% reduction in risk of death.

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